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Imf: China And Emerging Countries Driving Growth
China and emerging economies, especially Asia, are the engine of global recovery that is more rapid and robust expectations, but still remains fragile. In this scenario, said the director general of the IMF, "a premature exit strategy" from the extraordinary measures to combat the crisis, from the private sector presents risks because the potential to give impetus to a new recession.
Japan for a mission, Strauss-Kahn warned against the risk of speculative bubbles generated by the strong inflow of investment to emerging countries. Currently, he added, there are predictions of further seismic activity, or, as economists note, of "phenomena of recession to W, but we must keep vigilant." However, between the points at the time certain, the IMF is preparing to spread a better outlook than that of October 2009 assuming global growth of 3.1%. "The picture we will publish in two days show that the recovery proceeds with more thrust and speed of forecasts', has anticipated the Director-General, that the main issue to work on is the" exit strategy "and a return to sustainable growth after the stage of crisis. "If countries come ...
... out too soon and then we have a new brake really do not know what you will against the recession," he added, "The IMF has never expected a drop to double digits, but you never know. It can happen. " Strauss-Kahn, however, has provided two references: domestic demand and unemployment, which in the U.S. and EU is 10% and Japan 5%. "China, India and other Asian countries like Indonesia and Thailand have found patterns similar to those precrisis. Beijing has realized that he could not focus only on exports and domestic demand has fueled. As long as "there is a good recovery in demand and an improvement in the labor market can not get out," while, as a priority, "we will face the burden on public finance policies put in place to combat the crisis" which will be one of the "priority for developed countries in the coming years." Japan, facing a huge public debt, will do its utmost to sustainable fiscal policies.
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