Review & Outlook Of China’s Fertilizer Market 2012/2013

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"Review & Outlook of China’s Fertilizer Market 2012/2013" which Influenced by tighter domestic macro-environment and insufficient demand in international market, fertilizer prices in China’s market declined after growth and maintained weak as a whole.Here is the overview of the report on Review & Outlook of China’s Fertilizer Market 2012/2013

Product description
On production, the output of fertilizer set another record high and passed 60 million tons in 2012, but the growth rate was lower than that in the last year, especially, the growth rate of potash fertilizer output, which has been increasing rapidly for years, dropped sharply. On domestic consumption, although some positive factors like comprehensive agricultural subsidies have promoted the consumption of fertilizer, it kept weak throughout under the adverse impact of lower cost-benefit of farm produce and higher fertilizer prices in the first half of 2012. On export, tightening export tariff policy and weak demand in international market led China’s fertilizer export down overall in 2012.

So, the oversupply situation of fertilizer ...
... market in this year became serious increasingly and was the key reason for declining fertilizer price in the second half of this year. Although the production cost of fertilizer increased slightly and even showed falling trend, the dropping fertilizer price made the profitability of fertilizer enterprises compressed obviously. Under the pressure of sluggish growth in fertilizer market, industrial restructuring and mergers and reorganization in the industry were conducted further, the number of enterprises continued to decrease. At the same time, fertilizer production equipments and technological level have been improved obviously, coal-water slurry gasification technology, powdered coal pressure gasification technology, large sulfur-based compound fertilizer technology and beneficiation technology of mid-low grade phosphorite started to be used widely and have achieved good benefit. In addition, new fertilizer products represented by slow controlled release fertilizer, microbial fertilizer and etc. developed fast, and its market expansion rate was much higher than the average level of fertilizer industry.

In 2013, China's economy will increase at a low growth rate in a downturn. On the one hand, the risk of economic downturn still exists, so the government need adopt various measures to maintain a higher growth rate; on the other hand, structural adjustment and growth pattern transformation are urgently required. Against this background, both positive factors and negative factors for fertilizer market will show growth trend, which includes:

On the one hand, government’s support to agricultural production is expected to be strengthened continuously, which includes increasing agricultural investment and subsidy and raising minimum purchasing price of farm produce, so then a better requirement space for fertilizer industry will be built; China’s grain output has been increasing for nine years in a row in 2012, which is conducive to supporting fertilizer consumption scale to remain high in next year; the concentration of fertilizer industry is improving steadily, the influence and control ability of key enterprises on market have increased, which is conducive to weaken market volatility. On the other hand, China’s fertilizer faces excess capacity, the current situation of oversupply is hard to relieve; price mechanism reform process of main fertilizer raw materials (such as coal, natural gas, Sulfur phosphate ore, etc.) is expected to be accelerated, which will have upward pressure on fertilizer production cost; tightening export tariff policy for a long term and weak external economical situation seriously limit the operation and expansion of fertilizer enterprises in international market; etc.

The interaction of above positive and negative factors will make fertilizer market showing a complicated situation in 2013, the overall growth rate of this industry will slow down continuously, the internal adjustment will be accelerated, and the market will fluctuate violently. The transformation of China’s fertilizer industry from quantitative growth pattern to qualitative growth pattern is irreversible, the centralization of production, high-end orientated product, service orientated marketing and market oriented raw materials have become the main development direction of fertilizer market.

On the basis of an overall analysis and review of China’s fertilizer market in 2012, and combining the national economy situation and the policy change, BOABC will make an in-depth analysis of the trend of China’s fertilizer market in 2013 and provide a clear judgment for people at home and abroad who focus on China’s fertilizer market as a reference for their decision-making.
TABLE OF CONTENTS

Chapter I Macro-economy and Development of Fertilizer Industry
1.1 Macro-economic Condition and Fertilizer Industry Planning
1.1.1 Macro-economic Conditions in 2012 and the Prospect of Development Trend in 2013
1.1.2 Implementation and Completion of Main Objectives of National Economy Planning
1.1.3 Implementation and Completion of Main Objectives of Agricultural Development Planning
1.1.4 Implementation and Completion of Main Objectives of Chemical Industry
1.1.5 Implementation and Completion of Main Objectives of Fertilizer Industry

1.2 Changes of Agricultural Policies and Its Impact on Fertilizer Industry
1.2.1 Impact of Agricultural Product Procurement Policy on Fertilizer Demand
1.2.2 Impact of Agricultural Subsidy Policy on Fertilizer Demand
1.2.3 Impact of Other Agricultural Policies on Fertilizer Industry

1.3 Impact of Resource Policies and Resource Industry Development on Fertilizer Production
1.3.1 Impact of Coal Price Marketization on Fertilizer Production
1.3.2 Impact of Natural Gas Marketization Process on Fertilizer Production
1.3.3 Change of Mineral Resources Policies and Its Impact on Fertilizer Production

1.4 Impact of Oil Price Change on Fertilizer Logistics and Production Cost

1.5 Status Quo of Preferential Policies for Fertilizer Industry and Change Trend

1.6 Investment Situation of China’s Fertilizer Industry
1.6.1 Investment Situation of Fertilizer Industry
1.6.2 Investment Situation of Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry
1.6.3 Investment Situation of Phosphate Fertilizer Industry
1.6.4 Investment Situation of Potash Fertilizer Industry
1.6.5 Investment Situation of Compound Fertilizer Industry
1.6.6 Investment Situation of Organic Fertilizer Industry

1.7 Analysis of the Competitiveness of Fertilizer Industry
1.7.1 Analysis of the Overall Competitiveness of Fertilizer Industry
1.7.2 Analysis of the Competitiveness of Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry
1.7.3 Analysis of the Competitiveness of Phosphate Fertilizer Industry
1.7.4 Analysis of the Competitiveness of Potash Fertilizer Industry
1.7.5 Analysis of the Competitiveness of Compound Fertilizer Industry
1.7.6 Analysis of the Competitiveness of Organic Fertilizer Industry

1.8 Change of Fertilizer Industry Structure

1.9 Analysis of Fertilizer Circulation
1.9.1 Development of Diversification Pattern of Fertilizer Circulation System
1.9.2 Development Situation of Agricultural Chain Operation
1.9.3 Construction of Domestic Marketing Network of Sinofert Holding Limited
1.9.4 Construction of Marketing Network of Sino-agri Group

Chapter II Review and Prospect of Fertilizer Market in 2012-2013
2.1 Review of Fertilizer Market in 2012
2.1.1 Analysis of the Prosperity of Fertilizer Industry in 2012
2.1.2 Analysis of Fertilizer Market Trend in 2012
2.1.3 Impact of International Fertilizer Market on China’s Fertilizer Market in 2012
2.1.4 Impact of Export Tariff Policy Change on Fertilizer Market in 2012
2.1.5 Impact of Soil Testing and Formulated Fertilization Project on Fertilizer Market in 2012
2.1.6 Analysis of Fertilizer-Input/Grain-Output of Crop Cultivation Industry in 2012
2.1.7 Fertilizer Production in 2012
2.1.8 Import and Export of Fertilizer in 2012
2.1.9 Fertilizer Consumption in 2012
2.1.10 Price Trend in Fertilizer Market in 2012

2.2 Prospect of Fertilizer Market in 2013
2.2.1Prediction of Fertilizer Market Trend in 2013
2.2.2 Prediction of Input/Output of Crop Cultivation in 2013
2.2.3 Import Quotas and Import Agents of Fertilizer in2013
2.2.4 Prospect of the Changes of Import & Export Tax Rate in 2013 and Its Impact on Fertilizer Market
2.2.5 Trend of Policy for Fertilizer Market in 2013
2.2.5.1 Industry and Investment Policy
2.2.5.2 Taxation and Subsidy Policy
2.2.5.3 Policy for Reserve in Slack Season
2.2.5.4 Policy for Industry Access
2.2.6 Prediction of Fertilizer Output in 2013
2.2.7 Prediction of Fertilizer Export & Import in 2013
2.2.8 Prediction of Fertilizer Consumption in 2013

Chapter III Review and Prospect of Nitrogen Fertilizer Market in 2012-2013
3.1 Review of Nitrogen Fertilizer Market in 2012
3.1.1 Analysis of Prosperity of Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry in 2012
3.1.2 Cost and Profit of Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry in 2012
3.1.3 Analysis of Nitrogen Fertilizer Market in 2012
3.1.4 Output of Nitrogen Fertilizer in 2012
3.1.5 Import & Export of Nitrogen Fertilizer in 2012
3.1.6 Consumption of Nitrogen Fertilizer in 2012
3.1.7 Review of Urea Market in 2012
3.1.7.1 Analysis of China’s Urea Market in 2012
3.1.7.2 Output of Urea in 2012
3.1.7.3 Consumption of Urea in 2012
3.1.7.4 Impact of Urea Price/ Grain Price on Urea Consumption
3.1.7.5 Price Trend of Urea in 2012
3.1.7.6 Position of Urea in Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry Structure
3.1.8 Review of ABC Market in 2012
3.1.8.1 Output of ABC in 2012
3.1.8.2 Consumption of ABC in 2012
3.1.8.3 Price Trend of ABC in 2012
3.1.9 Other Nitrogen Fertilizer Market

3.2 Prospect of Nitrogen Fertilizer Market in 2013
3.2.1 Growth Potential of Nitrogen Fertilizer Production Capacity in 2013
3.2.2 Prediction of Nitrogen Fertilizer Market Trend in 2013
3.2.3 Prediction of Urea Market Trend in 2013
3.2.4 Impact of Export Tariff Adjustment on Urea Market in 2013
3.2.5 Change Trend of Urea Production Distribution
3.2.6 Prediction of Nitrogen Fertilizer Output in 2013
3.2.7 Prediction of Nitrogen Fertilizer Import & Export in 2013
3.2.8 Prediction of Nitrogen Fertilizer Consumption in 2013

Chapter IV Review and Prospect of Phosphate Fertilizer Market in 2012-2013
4.1 Review of Phosphate Fertilizer Market in 2012
4.1.1 Analysis of Prosperity of Phosphate Fertilizer Industry in 2012
4.1.2 Cost and Profit of Phosphate Fertilizer Industry in 2012
4.1.3 Output of Phosphate Fertilizer in 2012 and Degree of Industrial Concentration
4.1.4 Import & Export of Phosphate Fertilizer in 2012
4.1.5 Consumption of Phosphate Fertilizer in 2012
4.1.6 Price Trend of Phosphate Fertilizer in 2012

4.2 Prospect of Phosphate Fertilizer Market in 2013
4.2.1 Growth Potential of Phosphate Fertilizer Production Capacity in 2013
4.2.2 Prediction of Supply of Sulfur and Phosphorus as Raw Material in 2013
4.2.3 Prediction of Phosphate Fertilizer Output in 2013
4.2.4 Prediction of Phosphate Fertilizer Import & Export in 2013
4.2.5 Prediction of Phosphate Fertilizer Consumption in 2013

Chapter V Review and Prospect of Potash Fertilizer Market in 2012-2013
5.1 Review of Potash Fertilizer Market in 2012
5.1.1 Analysis of Prosperity of Potash Fertilizer Industry in 2012
5.1.2 Cost and Profit of Potash Fertilizer Industry in 2012
5.1.3 Construction Progress of Overseas Potash Fertilizer Project
5.1.4 Analysis of Potash Fertilizer Market in 2012
5.1.5 Output of Potash Fertilizer in 2012
5.1.6 Import & Export of Potash Fertilizer in 2012

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5.1.7 Consumption of Potash Fertilizer in 2012
5.1.8 Impact of Potash Fertilizer Price/Grain Price on Potash Fertilizer Consumption
5.1.9 Price Trend of Potash Fertilizer in 2012