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Real Estate Market: Are Real Estate Prices Rising Or Declining?
News & Media covering the state of housing market could be confusing for everyone. The kind of data being used and what they choose to highlight account for a sizable portion of that. Year-over-year (Y-O-Y) and month-over-month (M-O-M) comparisons of home prices are two alternative ways to compare property prices across various periods. I'll explain each in turn.
Year-over-Year (Y-O-Y): This comparison assesses how much home prices have changed since the same month or quarter the year before. For instance, you would compare the year-over-year change in property prices for April 2023 to those for April 2022.
Y-O-Y comparisons give a more thorough picture of long-term trends since they concentrate on changes over a year. They help assess annual growth rates and determine if the market is generally appreciating or depreciating.
Month-over-Month (M-O-M): This evaluation assesses how much home price variation there has been from one month to the next. For illustration, compare the M-O-M home prices for April 2023 to those for March 2023.
M-O-M comparisons, on the other hand, focus on changes within ...
... a single month and provide a quicker view of short-term movements and price swings. They are frequently used to monitor sudden changes in supply and demand, seasonal patterns, or the effects of particular events on the housing market.
The period being evaluated is the primary distinction between Y-O-Y and M-O-M comparisons. Depending on the precise analysis required, each strategy has advantages and serves a particular purpose.
Why Is This Difference So Significant Now?
Property values may be lower in the following months than in the same month last year. April, May, and June of 2022 were the three best months for home values in the history of the American housing market. This year's equivalent of those same months might need to be revised. The Y-O-Y comparison will likely show that values are declining.
That will lead to unsettling headlines stating that home values are declining. That will be correct year over year. And many customers will conclude that property values are sliding downhill due to such headlines.
However, looking deeper at M-O-M home prices, we can observe prices rising for several months. That M-O-M figures more closely depict what's going on with home values: after a period of decline, we've reached a bottom and are recovering.
Bottom line
When analyzing the state of the housing market, it's essential to understand the distinction between year-over-year (Y-O-Y) and month-over-month (M-O-M) comparisons of property prices. While Y-O-Y comparisons provide insights into long-term trends and overall market appreciation or depreciation, M-O-M comparisons look at short-term movements and price swings, reflecting supply, demand, and seasonal patterns changes. It's crucial to consider both Y-O-Y and M-O-M comparisons to understand real estate solutions and property for sale in the Philippines or any housing market.
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